Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.077830 0.091083 0.105863 0.123564 0.144184 0.167445 0.195681
2026-01-18 0.059238 0.076073 0.096607 0.123478 0.157711 0.199871 0.255762
2026-01-25 0.044917 0.062646 0.086057 0.119201 0.164904 0.225717 0.312844
2026-02-01 0.034424 0.051761 0.076369 0.113787 0.169221 0.248332 0.369915
2026-02-08 0.027631 0.044510 0.070104 0.111646 0.177355 0.277297 0.441021
2026-02-15 0.022320 0.038318 0.064100 0.108544 0.183207 0.303617 0.512777
2026-02-22 0.018998 0.034590 0.061174 0.109618 0.195642 0.342046 0.610431
2026-03-01 0.016083 0.030940 0.057638 0.108879 0.204701 0.376163 0.706628
2026-03-08 0.013346 0.027044 0.052908 0.105034 0.207372 0.399317 0.787076
2026-03-15 0.011502 0.024473 0.050132 0.104269 0.215512 0.433556 0.893848
2026-03-22 0.010418 0.023206 0.049636 0.107851 0.232699 0.487719 1.048692
2026-03-29 0.009550 0.022222 0.049521 0.112155 0.252033 0.549130 1.228620
2026-04-05 0.008549 0.020831 0.048474 0.114690 0.269015 0.610552 1.424351
2026-04-12 0.007518 0.019166 0.046530 0.114903 0.281049 0.663811 1.613072
2026-04-19 0.006397 0.017048 0.043146 0.111104 0.283129 0.695294 1.758212
2026-04-26 0.005398 0.015021 0.039584 0.106169 0.281540 0.718033 1.887183
2026-05-03 0.004703 0.013642 0.037375 0.104243 0.287203 0.759524 2.071460
2026-05-10 0.004072 0.012299 0.034996 0.101391 0.289901 0.794098 2.244794
2026-05-17 0.003680 0.011556 0.034092 0.102425 0.303422 0.859503 2.514173
2026-05-24 0.003280 0.010695 0.032688 0.101755 0.312033 0.913283 2.761897
2026-05-31 0.002843 0.009624 0.030456 0.098171 0.311438 0.941278 2.941017
2026-06-07 0.002546 0.008935 0.029238 0.097463 0.319448 0.995727 3.210182
2026-06-14 0.002387 0.008668 0.029290 0.100819 0.340918 1.094404 3.635399